Should Apple and OpenAI Merge? (Seriously!) — With Box CEO Aaron Levie
Channel: Alex Kantrowitz
Published at: 2025-07-19
YouTube video id: OVy-UoERf48
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OVy-UoERf48
This is a report in Bloomberg. Apple should consider replacing Tim Cook as CEO. Lightshed says so. Uh the story says Apple should consider replacing Tim Cook. Um as the iPhone maker struggles with artificial intelligence raise significant risks for the company. Apple needs a product focused CEO not one centered on logistics. The two analysts said missing AI could fundamentally alter the company's long-term trajectory and ability to grow a all grow at all. AI will reshape industries across the global economy and Apple risks becoming one of its casualties. You know, it's great setting this up, right? The um you know, could Nvidia hit 10 trillion dollars because um if AI is going to be as transformative as you suggested with um all these various use cases, it is true Apple has been flatfooted. Is this the craziest suggestion that the light shed guys are making? >> Well, I think the thing I would say, so maybe a couple things. First of all, I think I think Tim's great. Um, and so I I have a I I have a bias towards him um uh for for a number of reasons, but the um but but I I I I you know, the thing that is worth noting is how strong Apple's position is in um and that what that what that then equates to is their ability to watch the space and figure out the right move to make and when to make it. Um because whether whether some people like it or not, you know, this is still the best device handheld device on the planet and it has the best set of apps on the planet and it has your whole life kind of tied to it. So given they own that platform, their ability to lodge in AI into that at any point in the future remains very strong. And so I I look at I look at this as you know if you have you have basically three three options uh as a company. You could be a first mover and then totally sort of have a debacle and it not work. And we've actually seen plenty of examples in AI where the first mover is no longer the relevant player. Um, you could have a a scenario where you are a first mover that has a compounding advantage that continues to persist. Let's say OpenAI is in that category. Incredible execution and and uh and absolutely amazing. And then you have another category which is you enter the space at a time when the architecture has sort of been figured out when we understand the economics of the model when when you're not having to to you know you're able to have step function levels of improvement by I mean by the time that you launch into it and I think maybe a Apple didn't purposely make that choice but but it they are clearly in the position where they can actually have that choice now and so I think you can just look at this as if If this was 2004, we could have easily said, why has Apple not released a phone? And and yet by 2006, like that wouldn't have mattered and they had the dominant platform that that that would, you know, continue to uh to exist. I mean, Microsoft had a tablet computer in 2002 or something. I I own one. Um uh or or my my co-founder owned one and I owned a one of their Windows um smartphones uh made by Compact or HP. And so think about that that they got had the smartphone and they had the tablet computer first and neither of those things mattered to the long-term dominance uh in the space. And so Apple has a position uh and a potential of basically when when the time is right to jump in. They still have the devices that we're using. They still have the OS that we're using. Um and they'll be able to have learned from all of the mistakes of of you know various companies along the way. So I I wouldn't count them out and I think they're clearly sitting around saying when is the right time to pull a trigger on a much bigger move. Um and so I think we have to just wait for that. >> What do you mean much bigger move? >> Well, they they they either have to make the decision of either train a model that is that that gives them a state-of-the-art AI model or do some substantial partnership or acquisition move. all of what we've seen with these, you know, kind of founder CEO hires. Obviously, the acquisition environment is complicated because of DOJ and FTC. Um, but I would I would certainly be astonished if in two years from now there wasn't one of those those choices being made, but I'm not I'm not sort of uh that worried that it hasn't been made yet. >> So, um, all right, here is my galaxy galaxy brain idea. It's one step bel uh below I mean further from the typical galaxy brain. So, I've been on the show advocating for perplexity. Maybe I've been thinking too small. Let me put it this way. Uh, Apple just lost its COO this week, um, Jeff Williams, >> and everybody thought Jeff Williams was going to be the successor to Tim Cook. Um, are we now in a moment of setup where Sam Alman and Johnny IVive have teamed up on a device? Tim Cook is getting ready to retire in the next couple years without a clear successor now that Williams is gone. Do we see the ultimate tech merger where OpenAI becomes forprofit and Tim Cook says, "Sam, Johnny, pick up the legacy." They did the picture. I think they want this. Can it happen? >> Uh, that is a that is a wild uh that that is w some wild fanfiction. Um uh I mean anything could happen. I I I think that is that should be totally in the in the category of of options. You know, if if you're being realistic by the time that that moment would would likely occur, you know, opening eye should be much bigger. That would be much more complicated than as a deal. Um but I like the you know, certainly the as a brainstorm. It's a it's a great way to brainstorm. Okay, that's a very nice way to let me down. And yeah, I I said merger uh for a reason. I wouldn't call it an acquisition. It might have to come at this point where the two just come together that way. >> No, no, fair point. And I've seen crazier things in my life now in tech. So, I I can't write anything out at this point. So, so uh let's uh let's see what happens. >> Let me put this put it this way as we end. I think that type of deal is far more likely than Apple buying anthropic >> uh just because uh it's gonna require something so much more substantial or or why would that why would that be more likely? >> Because I think it's a better cultural fit. I think the anthropic team and Apple would clash. But I think Open AI going into Apple, you know, could potentially work. Although OpenAI is much leakier than Apple, although Apple leaks leaks everything to German these days. You know, the only the only thing I would just suggest or posit is is you know, this um it'll be fascinating to watch what Meta does with um obviously its new super intelligence or because because we actually already saw it with Grock to be clear, but but Meta will be a second round of this. If from a more or less standing start, you know, they're able to accomplish, let's say, some new breakthrough state-of-the-art model in 6 months, 12 months, 18 months or whatnot, I think what that will prove is basically it still remains largely a talent and compute and data game. Uh, which means that you don't really need to buy an existing incumbent. You you mostly just need to decide to to go big on on on the compute and on the training. Um, and and obviously have the right talent to do that. and the day that that like it it doesn't really matter whether you had you know uh all of the other prior versions to like before that moment like like you you're you're doing a reset no matter what. So I I would I would just argue that like we we get all excited about this idea of some big mega acquisition, but right it's not really it's not a problem that requires that kind of scale uh except for when you're just doing the capital expenditure of the GPUs. You really just need the right talent, the right training data, and the right compute. So I I would I would more bet not on one of these very large multi-tens of billions of dollar deals simply because there's other paths to get there that are not as complicated. >> That's a great point. I mean it's less about you know an individual company's IP because everyone's effectively sharing the IP it's about productizing it right. >> Well that that's exactly right. So so if you imagine this industry within one year every single breakthrough idea eventually gets discovered by everybody else. Like there's ne nobody has kept an advantage for more than a year on some secret idea that that that that only they have. And so Apple's ultimate uh Apple's ultimately advantage is is they have a distribution model that nobody else has and they have a form factor of where AI could show up that nobody has. So they don't need they don't necessarily need to have the best model relative to you know one or two months being ahead of anybody else. They just need to have like a a a good enough model that any one of our non- tech friends would just be like this is fantastic. I love this thing. which is just not again does not require that scale of of uh of of acquisition or or whatnot.