How Ozempic Changes Our Bodies, Minds, and Economy — With Johann Hari
Channel: Alex Kantrowitz
Published at: 2024-09-04
YouTube video id: DEfjbtfHCN0
Source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DEfjbtfHCN0
after spending a year plus on OIC and interviewing its inventors and critics Our Guest today shares how the drug might reshape our relationship to food and our economy all that and more is coming up right after this welcome to Big technology podcast a show for cool-headed nuance conversation of the tech world and Beyond Today we're diving into Health specifically about OIC and the other range of weight loss pills weight loss medicine is starting to make its way into our society and do it fast and um change really change our relationship with food and change our economy effectively we're going to talk about how that's going to happen and then also the pro the pros and cons of this uh of these drugs we're joined today by yoan hary he's a New York time bestselling author and his new book magic pill the extraordinary benefits and disturbing risks of the new weight loss drugs is out in any bookstore you could H for and I've read it it's a terrific book yoan welcome to the show oh I'm really excited to be with you thanks so much it is great to have you here we're going to talk a little bit about the effects of the economy but I I really want people to understand sort of what this drug does and what it's up against and the way that I think we should do that is talking about the cheesecake park or the cheesecake rats um it it's an example that you have in your book about basically the way that the food industry addicts us to food that's not really good for us and there's uh there's this story about the rats that basically find find themselves gorging themselves on cheesecake and can't stop that you know my wife and I have now started to take and we we've started to when when we're eating dessert non-stop we just look at each other and we're like oh no cheesecake rat so what is the cheesecake rat in the cheesecake Park well we're in this incredible position 47% of Americans want to take these new weight loss drugs because they produce an incredible amount of weight loss that I'm sure we're going to unpack and in a way when you first hear that it seems like a kind of mind-blowing moment the first time in human history that almost half of us would want to take a drug in order to stop ourselves from eating right so you think well how did we get here what happened to us and actually understanding how we got here is very important to understanding the later question of how these drugs work um and I guess the way I would get into explaining the experiment you're alluding to is I would say to everyone just stop for a moment pause this podcast and Google something for me Google photograph of beaches in the United States in the year I was born 1979 and just look at them for a minute and then come back so you will have noticed about those beaches something that seems really strange to us everyone in those pictures pretty much looks to us like what we would call skinny right or jacked and you look at it and go well huh where was everyone else on the beach that day in 1979 but it turns out that's just what Americans look like in 1979 right and obesity was extremely low in the year I was born and it has exploded in my lifetime between the year I was born in the year I turned 21 obesity doubled in the United States and then in the next 20 years severe obesity doubled again so we're in this bizarre situation you have human beings exist for about 300,000 years and obesity is very rare and then from looking at you I'm guessing you're pretty similar age to me um in our lifetimes obesity exploded why why what happened we know the answer the most important part of the answer obesity explodes everywhere that makes one change it's not where people suddenly lack willpower or become lazy it's where people move from Mostly eating a diet based on whole fresh foods that they prepare on the day they eat them to mostly eating a diet of processed and ultr processed foods which are constructed out of chemicals in factories in a process that isn't even known as cooking it's called manufacturing food and it turns out this new kind of food that's built out of chemicals affects us in a completely different way to the whole fresh foods that human beings ate for 300,000 years before that and and one of the ways it affects us when the most important ways is processed and ultr processed food undermines our ability to ever feel full our ability to ever feel we've had enough and then want to stop eating and I go through loads of evidence for this in my book and the many different ways in which processed food has this effect on us but you allude to an experiment that to me just totally nailed the effect I nicknamed it cheesecake park that's not the official title this is an experiment that was done by a brilliant scientist named Dr Paul Kenny who's the head of neuroscience at Mount siai in New York and um Dr Kenny grew up in Dublin in Ireland and he moved to the United States in the 90s to San Diego to continue his scientific research do his PhD in fact and he quickly noticed huh Americans don't eat like Irish people did at the time right um they ate Americans at the time ate much more and now obviously ate much more processed and Ultra processed foods and like many good immigrant Dr Kenny assimilated and quite quickly became you know gained a huge amount of weight I think gained 30 pounds in a year or two and he started to feel like this food he was eating wasn't just affecting his gut it was affecting his brain it was affecting how he felt and what he wanted so he designed this experiment to test it he a load of rats in a cage and all they had to eat was the kind of natural Whole Foods that rats evolved to eat over thousands of years and when that's and when that's all they had the rats would eat when they were hungry and then they would stop when they were full they had some kind of natural nutritional wisdom that said hey guys you've had enough now they never became overweight they never became obese then Professor Kenny introduced them to the American diet the stuff I've been eating all my life too he fried up some bacon he bought some Snickers bars crucially he bought a load of cheesecake and he put it down alongside the healthy food and the Rats went ape [ __ ] for the American di I don't know ifat Gango AP [ __ ] that's the rats went crazy for the American diet they would dive into the cheesecake and eat their way out and emerge just completely slicked with cheesecake they ate and ate and ate and ate the way Dr Kenny put it to me was within a couple of days they were different animals that kind of natural nutritional wisdom that they'd had when they had the kind of food they evolved for vanished and they all became severely obese then Professor Kenny tweeted the experiment again he um he took away all the American food in a way that feels to me pretty cruel as a former KFC addict and he left them with nothing but the healthy food they'd evolved to eat that they'd had when they were growing up and he was pretty sure he knew what would happen he thought they would eat more of the um healthy food than they had before for and this would prove that exposure to junk food expands the number of calories you eat in a day that is not what happened something much weirder happened once they'd had the American diet and it was taken away they refused to eat the healthy food at all it was like they no longer recognized it as food they would rather starve than eat that food it was only when they were literally wasting away that they finally went back to eat it now I would argue we are all living in a version of Cheesecake park now we are living in an environment from when we're very young where we fed foods that physically change us and undermine our ability to ever feel full and know when to stop eating and it's not the only thing going on but it's the key reason why we have this huge obesity crisis and why there is such enormous demand for these new weight loss drugs yes I feel like whenever I'm just like I don't know about to finish a pack of cookies in one sitting I'm just like oh yeah here I am cheesecake rat and I'm curious how they've been able to engineer the food I mean obviously we're going to talk about OIC as an answer to this but before we get into that how have they been able to engineer the food to make make us never feel full um is it intentional or is it just a byproduct of the type of food that exists when it's manufactured as you mentioned versus Whole Foods I think the honest answer to the question is a bit complicated what's definitely not happening is they're not like James Bond villains going bah how can we make everyone as obese as possible that's that's not happening right that would be a stupid way of thinking about it it's in some ways much more simple if you're the head of a KFC craft any of the food companies you have a fiduciary responsibility to your shareholders to maximize profit so how do you maximize profit as a food company you sell as much food as possible right so they are constantly figuring out ways to maximize the amount we eat right so if there's two food stuffs one that makes us feel full and we stop eating after having half of it and one that makes us want to eat five packs of it they're going to go for the one that has five packs of it and I don't blame those individual companies I mean they do things that are unethical like employ lobbyists to rig the rules or advertise to Children there are certainly lots of things I would condemn about them but actually it's the job of the rest of the society to regulate those companies right those companies are doing what those companies are meant to do the democracy needs to do what it's meant to do and regulate them to prevent them from harming our children and screwing up our bodies and harming our health there's lots of ways in which processed food undermines our sense of fullness some of which are not by Design so for example processed food has a very low amount of protein in it uh much on average of course there's some processed foods that have high protein but on average as a class processed foods have quite low levels of protein it's a brilliant scientist at the University of Sydney called Professor David raubenheimer has done a lot of research on this he's shown we all know we have hunger for calories obviously we all know that but your body also has a hunger specifically for protein because your body knows you need protein to do things like build your bones so if you think about if you have a diet that's dominated by processed foods as mine has been almost all my life to get your body needs a certain amount of protein if you're eating processed foods which are low in protein you have to eat a lot more of those processed foods to get the amount of protein your body needs he's done lots of experim that show this if you give people low protein food they will eat a lot more of it to meet their body's underlying hunger for protein itself there's loads of factors like that going on here with process and ultr processed food I go through them in the book which explain why it leads us to so massively overeat and why it so profoundly undermines our sense of satiety our sense of being sated of having had enough and not wanting more right and it's interesting how you talk about this is what the companies are meant to do and it's the job of societies to regulate them and that's why I think this is almost uh as much of an economic story as a health story because you do have these food companies processing food manufacturing food in a way that make people not feel full and eat as much as possible so that's one big industry and then you have the pharmaceutical industry on the other side with their answer and something that can you know effectively deliver to their sh shareholders and that is OIC and not just OIC but a full family of new drugs that is going to help people feel a little bit more full so you're on it for a year and five months to date can I just say one thing about that because you're not doing this but I just want to be um clear sometimes that link that you're presenting is presented as an intentional link right you've got um you know the food companies making us fat and then the pharmaceutical companies stepping into profit as if as if they're kind of acting in concert or in collaboration I want to be clear that is not the case right that's not how competing forces work in a capitalist economy it's just a misunderstanding of what's going on right um but you're absolutely right as Professor Michael low put it to me who's a brilliant expert on Hunger at Drexel University in Philly been researching this for 40 years he said these new weight loss drugs are an artificial solution to an artificial problem right these processed and ultr processed foods created this extraordinary hole of hunger inside most of us 67% of the calories the average American child consumes in a Day come from processing Ultra processed foods staggering figure right um and what these drugs do and I'm sure we're going to get into how is they artificially boost your sense of satiety your sense of fullness to to degree that is bizarre to me like I realized now I had never felt full until until I took OIC not really I'd felt stuffed but that's different to feeling full right I'd never really felt sated or perhaps that's an over statement had rarely felt sated until I took OIC in a way that I now feel sated every day right so yeah this has been a really profound profound effect yeah and so I'm curious to hear you know we hear a lot about the studies but you like have looked at the scientific literature and also have taken the pill or sorry the drugs it's an injection right so pills for some people but yeah most most injections at the moment right so talk a little bit about how OIC counters this insatable hunger that we end up being left with from processed foods and what's your experience like been like in the year and five months that you've used OIC well so if you ate something now doesn't matter what it is after a little while your pancreas will produce a hormone called glp1 along with some other hormones and gp1 is basically your body's natural signals going hey buddy you had enough stop eating right it's the breakes but natural glp1 only stays around in your system for a couple of minutes and then it's washed away what these drugs do is they inject you with an artificial copy of glp1 that instead of sticking around for a few minutes sticks around in your system for a whole week which has this incredible effect I'll never forget second day I took o zenic I was lying in bed just behind where my laptop is now if I turn my laptop around you'd see it um and I woke up and I thought huh I feel something strange what is it and I couldn't look what it was what I was feeling and it took me about 5 minutes to realize I had woken up and I wasn't hungry that had never happened to me before and I went to this Diner just up the street that I used to go to every morning and I'm slightly embarrassed to say I ordered the thing I used to get every day which was a huge chicken mayo sandwich with loads of chicken and mayonnaise in it and normally I would eat that really quickly and I would still want some potato chips and I had like three maybe four mouthfuls of this sandwich and I and I was full I just didn't want anymore and that's how it was from then on I just felt very full very fast um so what this what these drugs do is they hugely boost your sense of satiety and it's really important people to understand this isn't a gimmick this isn't a fad this isn't some new fad diet drug this is a profound scientific breakthrough as one of the scientists who was played a key role in developing these drugs said to me we've cracked the code of what regulates appetite and it's it's simulating and manipulating gut hormones right there are all sorts of gut hormones that are created when you eat if you inject people with artificial copies of those gut hormones you massively reduce the amount they eat it's why I went from eating 3,200 calories a day to about 1,800 it's why I lost 42 pounds in the first year it's that's incredible very yeah it's a dramatic effect the average person who takes a zenic we're they're the same thing with different labels um loses 15% of their body weight in a year um with munaro so asmic and movi work on one gut hormone gp1 minaro works on two gut hormones it's gp1 and Gip the average person who takes that loses 21% of their body weight in a year and for Triple G which will be coming online probably next year which acts on three gut hormones the average person loses 24% of their body weight which is only slightly below bariatric surgery and there are now more than 200 of these drugs in development because we know there's over 40 G hormones that affect appetite so this is a staggering um breakthrough which will have staggering effects on human health how we move how we look on the economy you mentioned this at the start but you know Barkley's Bank commissioned a very sober-minded financial analyst Emily fileld to go away and look at these drugs to guide their future investment decisions do they have any implications for our future Investments and she came back and said if you want a comparison for what these drugs are going to do you got to look at the invention of the smartphone right and I think that's what it's the iPhone in some ways but sorry go ahead explain how in some ways it's in some ways I think it's bigger I mean this is the biggest cause of death in the United States Professor Gerald M at Harvard yeah obesity Professor Gerald M at Harvard calculates that obesity and food caused illnesses cause 680,000 deaths every year in the United States we don't usually think of it that way right maybe your aunt died of cancer you don't think she was killed by obesity but obesity massively increases the risk of cancer maybe your uncle died of a heart attack you think oh he had a heart attack but you don't realize obesity or we we we know it but we don't quite put it together as often obesity massively increases the risk of heart disease but obesity increases over 200 known diseases and complications either causes or increases um basically everything we fear from stroke to dementia um this is an opportunity to radically reverse that thing that is the biggest killer in our society by far I mean almost 10 times more people are being killed by obesity than by gun violence for example and rightly we talk about gun violence a lot you know compare that to how little we talk about obesity gun violence is such a good comparison because there's a lot of gun violence in the US worldwide but I guess no one does it like we do here unfortunately only the Brazilians yeah yes so but there's a very strong Lobby that says yeah you know a lot of people get killed but this is important for our businesses and in the US at least and I think worldwide business really holds Sway and I was speaking with someone an entrepreneur in the Pharma industry right before we uh got on and here's what this person said told me uh 60% of the US GDP is consumption so what happens when um and by the way is these are the stats he gave me uh you have 40% of people in the US that are obese 2third of people are overweight what happens when these people start consuming less than half in the food alone right food because it might extend beyond food what happens when these people are uh consuming less than half of the food that they were eating before and even Walmart uh this is person told me uh has in their board meeting discussed the effects and their concerns so you have concern with food concern with retail I guess like are we being set up for and you know I kind of said we have you know food versus Pharma but really you know are we being set up for like a pretty big fight that between let's say you know this in this effectively an economy that relies on consumptions and consumption and the pills that might stop consumption are we being set up for an NRA NRA style battle here where like you're going to have you know folks for like the food rights or whatever it is against people for a safer future yeah well The Washington Post has reported that the big food industry is already funding body positivity push backs against against some of this um I mean covertly just like the cigarette companies covertly funded uh denial about lung cancer and just like the oil companies covertly for many decades funded global warming denial yeah and I think we are and there's going to be a huge tension there um and just the economic consequences are just already we're see we're seeing so many of these kind of unpredictable effects I mean think about you mentioned the food companies the head of nestle Mark Schneider has been making very nervous noises about their confectionary Dunkin Donuts you know um sorry crispy K Cream Donuts rather um foras magazine uh interview load of experts who said that their stock was being downgraded and then their stock didn't because goes right after their target market so exactly exactly I mean literally I was their target market at least two of my chins are due to dunky and now I don't it anymore right I think the loss of my customer loan must have caused some of that plunging stock value um yeah and just think about the unpredictable cascading effects um Jeff Financial just did a big report um about a year ago to the American Airlines saying you're going to have to spend a lot less money on jet fuel pretty soon because it takes so much less jet fuel to fly a radically thinner population and bear in mind this is the case now when these drugs are extraordinarily expensive in the United States but 8 years from now asmic goes out a patent at that point it will be a daily pill it would be a dollar a day if the 12 big risks that I warn about in relation to these drugs don't bear out or are not as are not super bad then my prediction is that more than half of the population will be taking them when it's a daily pill that's a dollar a day the effects on the economy and the society at that point are enormous you know my book is called Magic pill because there's three way these drugs could be magic right the first is the most obvious it could just solve the problem right and there are days when it feels like that I've got to be honest with you my whole life I've overeaten now once a week I inject myself in the leg I don't even overeat anymore it feels like magic the second way it could be magic is more disturbing it could be like a magic trick it could be like a condra who shows you a card trick while picking your pocket it could be that over time the 12 big risks associated with these drugs that I describe in the book out way the benefits I do not rule that out that is perfectly conceivable but the third way it could be magic is to me actually the most likely if you think about the classic stories of magic that we grew up with as kids like uh Aladdin say how do they go you find the lamp you rub it the genie appears your wish is granted and your wish comes true but never quite in the way you expected there's all sorts of unpredictable effects right and I think we're gonna see that some of them will be enormous some of the anticipated um and indeed proven positive effects are enormous you know think about effects on heart disease reduces your risk of heart disease heart attack or stroke by 20% right that could well save my life I'm older than my grandfather ever got to be he died when he was 44 of a heart attack loads of the men in my family have heart problems my dad had terrible heart problems my uncle died of a heart attack for people like us it could be transformative at the other end of the spectrum for people with eating disorders I really fear it will be lethal I can go into more detail on that if you want but I think we get opioidlike death toll of young girls who use these drugs to starve themselves it's one of the reasons we need to tighten the regulation around these drugs urgently so you know we came up with the smartphone comparison or rather the Barley's analyst did if we've been talking in 2007 I think it was April 2007 when Steve Jobs first unveiled the iPhone we would not have been able to predict Tik Tok and meoo and you know door Dash and all these things that have transformed our lives right but here we are they've changed our societies profoundly um and I think these drugs are going to is not hyperbole to talk about these drugs in the same breath yeah and I think it Bears repeating I mean 60% of an economy consumption and yeah we don't we have a president that if you know if not we have a president if there's a president that allows GDP to be flat they get thrown out of office this country this the world doesn't tolerate negative growth but we're looking negative growth in the face and I try to not be like I mean I'm definitely trying not to be conspiratorial but like how is societ like there it just seems like there are powerful forces that are going to really come in opposition to this stuff I know we can't say right now powerful forces here haven't you you've got the food industry you've got farmer yeah I mean so yeah that there will definitely be friction between those two forces going forward let me talk a little bit about how how we might happen how it might happen in the short term I mean you mentioned that 2030 is when the patent comes off of OIC but actually in China that patents off now and there are compounding pharmacies that are effectively putting OIC together on their own sort of off label maybe they add B12 in to say okay it's actually something different and that's where lots of people are getting this drug from and the only reason that they're able to get it from these compounding pharmacies is because OIC right now is on some sort of shortage list which means that they're able to get it uh from these Supply chains or from these Supply chains and there's a chance within the next couple years that it's going to be removed from those shortage lists and I'm sure the food industry and all the conern you know anyone who's concerned about GDP would want it removed even though like it's not uh going to be good for for Global health so what do you think is going to happen on that front and how how impactful do you think it might be if you have let's say millions of people taking the effectively the same drug as OIC and then all of a sudden it goes from an affordable uh drug to what it what it is now if you want to get it like name brand which is 1,300 a week it's 1300 a month but yeah the 00 a month yeah yeah Ju Just to to uh I would just pull back for a moment uh I think it's a really important question I would just pull back for a moment and say um if I guess a few things um the first is the question of drug prices as you can tell from my weird downtabby accent I'm in fact British and I spend a lot of my time in the US a lot of my in Britain and I've got to tell you it constantly stuns me the degree to which Americans are ripped off when it comes to drug prices um so I buy my asmic here in Britain it's the equivalent of $250 a month when I I've had to get it in Vegas a few times it's like $1,000 a month right um it doesn't magically transform as it crosses the Atlantic this happens for a reason in um in the United States big farmer employs armies of lobbyists to rig drug regulation in the United States right all drugs almost without you don't have to go as far away as Britain just cross the Canadian border all drugs are radically more expensive in the United States than they are in Canada or Mexico right not because the drugs are different it's because the American political system doesn't work it's not properly Democratic and it allows the ripping off of American citizens at every stage by the way both parties take massive amounts of money from Big farmer um so that's the first thing you have to say now there's an issue around these drugs there's the issue of the benefits of these drugs and the risks of these drugs and I'm sure we're going to dig more into that um and I don't believe everyone who's oo or obese should be taking these drugs there some people who shouldn't be and I hope my book is a kind of guide to so we can think this through in a very personalized way that's a very good job with that yeah oh thank you thanks but um but but um but what I'd say is we're in this nightmare situation where the people who do at the moment only a very small Elite of people can access these drugs so we have a situation where the new the The Real Housewives of New Jersey get to be bone thin while the real school children of New Jersey get diabetic at the age of 12 right and the number I heard is that only 2% of obese people uh of the obese Market is on these glp drugs right these OIC style drugs where uh if you're severely overweight 20% are doing this bariatric surgery to shink the stomach much riskier much much riskier um yeah uh I mean I think there's just a huge um huge issue around that and so you raise compounding so for people who don't know um yeah when a drug is when a when you can demonstrate a medical need for a drug but there is a shortage of that drug as there is at the moment and and it's worth explaining why there's a shortage every person who takes a zenic wovi Manjaro becomes a walking advertisement for that drug right I think a lot about guy interview called Jeff Parker lovely guy 67y old retired lighting engine in San Francisco he was very severely obese he was in quite a lot of physical pain as a result it was difficult for him to walk he had gout he had liver and kidney problems he was taking fistfuls of pills every morning he started to take mararo actually he was getting a compounded version from China like you say um lost an enormous amount of weight came off all his pills all his medical conditions went into reverse now he walks his dog over the Golden Gate Bridge every day and said to me I feel like I'm going to enjoy my retirement now everyone who knows Jeff looks at him goes whoa what happened to Jeff right he looks completely different so one of the reasons there's these shortages is that everyone then becomes a walking ad and so demand produces demand produces demand produces demand in this cascading effect so although they have been Novo nordis and Eli the companies that make these drugs have been massively to be fair to them expanding production of course they want to they want to make the money um they're racing to get to a a Finishing Line that's just getting further and further away because the more they race the more people want it right um so lots of companies are producing compounded copies of these drugs there's inherently risks in that they're not made in FDA labs in Austria recently there was a big problem where people bought what they thought was compounded some aglo tiddes the active component of these drugs they weren't they went into Comas they were horribly injured there's an inherent risk in compounded versions for obvious reasons U um but I understand why people are doing it right so yeah there's um a tremendous complexity and I think you're right that big farmer will be pressuring to close those Loop Pooles pretty soon I mean they're already sending out lawyers letters to right he that happens I mean you could abrupt you could abruptly have people thrown off the medicine whereas like they can afford the compounded drug they cannot afford 1,300 a month so what happens if you get abruptly tossed off the the drug that's a really important question so uh I want to explain what the drug companies say and I want to explain why they're probably right but we need to take it with a small pinch assault what the drugs say what what the drug companies say is these drugs are like statins or blood pressure meds they work for as long as you take them and when you stop taking them they stop working so you regain the weight pretty rapidly and they have funded studies that a study that seems to demonstrate the vast majority of people regained the vast majority of their weight within a year um there's a small pinch of sort in that in that of course they have a vested interest in telling us that we have to take them forever because they make money forever they do seem anecdotally to be some people who take them for a shorter period use them to radically change their habits and then seem to stay at a lower weight although I suspect they're a minority we there'll be more research on this soon but yeah if you're thrown off you'll almost suddenly regain the way right and that could be a very big issue as we see again these opposing forces sort of try to jocky for a position here as this takes off it could be worse we don't know and what there's a lot of things we don't know about these drugs one is so we know if you gained a load of weight now and then went on a diet and lost weight and it just through calorie restriction and exercise so not using these drugs we know that slows down your metabolism over time it makes it harder to keep weight off right if you yo-yo diet if you gain weight lose weight gain weight lose weight it can really wreck your metabolism so you actually burn calories very slowly we don't know if taking these drugs and then coming off them slows down your metabolism probably does most other forms of weight loss do in fact all other forms of weight loss do so um that's another concern as well could you actually end up fatter than you were if you hadn't taken the drug we don't know but it's a concern and one of the things that I found so interesting in your book was say this concept of a set point that your body basically figures out the weight that you are the weight that you should be and if you try to move too far off of it at least you know in terms of the negative it will try to bring you back up to that set point of weight well this is really interesting because um so there's there's the way people used to think about this in the 60s and 70s and there's the way we understand it now so in the ' 60s and 70s scientists thought that your weight was basically set from birth or even in utero that basically from when you're born you have a certain fat percentage that's kind of innate to you right so think about your temperature set point as an analogy we have a natural set body temperature if you go higher than that your body works very hard to bring it down it makes you sweat it makes you really want to get into the shade if you go lower than that your body works really hard to bring it up it makes you shiver it makes you seek warmth and it was thought that so it's very hard to stay out you basically you can't stay outside your safe temperature level your temperature set point for very long right your body really works to keep you there and if you do stay out of it for long you get very unwell um so it was thought there was something similar with your weight that you had an innate set point that just sort of regulated you know you go a little bit above or a little bit below but it was basically set and regulated and then the Obesity crisis happened mainly in starting in the early 1980s late '70s early ' 80s when I was born I'm not blaming myself I'm not like Daman in The Omen go and cause it but um and that seemed to blow set point Theory up right well what's going on if it's set if it's innate and biological how come it changed so much so quickly but what scientists realized this is contested but I think it's quite persuasive is um actually what happens is you do have an innate set point but as you gain weight your set point Rises this is really important for understanding why the alternative to these drugs diet and exercise does not produce sustained weight loss for about 85 % of people who try it so let's say that you now gained 40 and you tried to lose that 40b through calorie restriction and exercise because your innate set point has risen your brain is trying to hold you at that higher weight yeah all sorts of physical and biological changes will happen in your brain and your body to try to stop you going down it will make it will slow your metabolism down so you burn calories more slowly or make you crave more sugary salty foods all sorts of changes happen and there's lots of evidence for that overwhelming evidence about metabolic slowdown for example and I remember when I first learned that thinking well that can't be true because why obesity is really bad for your health why would Evolution endows with the desire to hold on to or biological mechanisms to hold on to obesity given that obesity is so bad for us it's so maladaptive it doesn't make sense to me and it was explained to me by Professor Michael low I mentioned before it drank um the best way of thinking about this I think which is you got to think about the circumstances where human beings evolved in the circumstances where human beings evolved the situation we live in now essentially never happened or vanishingly rarely which is where you have infinite abundant calories all around you far more than you could consume and they last your whole life right that just never happened so Evolution did not prepare us for that scenario the scenario that did happen quite frequently that Evolution did prepare us for is the exact opposite famine famine was very common right uh in the circumstances where human beings involved it was quite likely there would be a famine in your lifetime if you think about it in that context it makes perfect sense that if you gain weight your body fights to hold on to the weight right if there's a famine the fattest man at the start is the last man standing right there was a famine the version of me from three years ago is going to still be alive at the end whereas Timothy shalomay will die in week one right and I'll cry over his body but he'll bury him and we'll have to move on right ex rest in peace to be the J exactly so you can so you see set point this innate set point is preparing us for a famine that now is never going to come right right so that explains why diets don't work it also explains one Theory or this this is significantly more contentious there's a huge debate about what these drugs so we now know these drugs are primarily working not on your gut but on your brain you have glp1 receptors not just in your gut but in your brain they're profoundly changing our brains from interviewing The Cutting Edge neuroscientist as I did in my book this is very clear and it's s disconcerting to interview the leading neuroscientists you say to them what is it doing to my brain and they kind of go yeah come back and ask us in a few years we don't really know um but one theory about what it may be doing to the brain is they may it may be lowering your biological set point H the equivalent of this is a very crude ology I suspect the scientist I interviewed would think it was overly crude but it's a bit like taking your set point you know to the resetting your iPhone to the factory settings right it lowers your set point for the duration that you take the drugs so again you see the debate about what causes obesity is intimately related to the debate about how these drugs work in all sorts of fascinating ways one of the things that I think you was really fascinating that you tackled in the book of course you talk about the risk like there's a slight update your risk in getting thyroid cancer from this but not a massive it's not like it you're sure to get thyroid cancer if you take this it's a little bit more of an increase and your risk there but the thing that really struck me as the risk was um you talk about how it could potentially dull people's emotionally a little bit to pleasure and reward and like physical rewards uh for instance like people start to drink less um but there's a concern that it might just make everything in life less pleasurable uh could you talk a little bit about about why that might be so I want to stress this is all the scientists who've expressed this concern expressed that it's speculative and we can't be sure but so some scientists have argued that these drugs seem to be causing depression or even Suicidal Thoughts in a minority of people who use them that in itself is contested it did not persuade the European medicines agency although the FDA and the United states does have a warning about potential suicidal idation from these drugs and there's a huge debate about why that might be some of it relates to the question about the brain effects so a different theory about how these drugs may work in the brain and on the brain is that in your brain you have something called your reward systems your reward systems are what motivate you to do anything that propagates life right we eat because we get reward from it we have sex because we get rewards from it we engage in social behaviors because we get rewards from them they all make the reward centers of the brain harm one theory about how these drugs work is they may be dampening your reward systems so it may be that I no longer feel the urge to eat a Big Mac over a salad because I get less reward from the Big Mac than I did before there does seem to be some evidence in this lots of people report losing their pleasure in eating after taking these drugs now although not everyone and I actually it actually increased my pleasure in food but I can I'm unusual I can talk about why if you like but um so you don't have to think about that problem for long to realize okay if it's dampening your reward system for food is it dampening your reward system more generally is it dampening your reward system for in my case reading writing things I love right would it be doing that um so that's a huge debate it's we don't know is the honest answer I actually think though there's something much more basic and more easily grasped actually that is going on for lots of people and I felt it happen to me so for the first six months I was taking the drugs I was was in a slightly weird position where I was getting what I wanted I was losing loads of weight and all sorts of good things happened but I actually didn't feel better emotionally actually I felt slightly worse and it's hard to generalize from any individual maybe it's just other stuff that was going on in my life but I had a real Epiphany about this in Vegas um where I spend a lot of my time I I I was um I was in Vegas it was seven months into writing the book and I was there um I was researching the murder of someone that I knew and loved for um a different book that I'm writing in as you can imagine that was was a very painful and difficult thing to do and so one day I did what I've done a thousand times on autopilot I went to the KFC on West Sahara and I ordered a bucket of fried chicken as I would have done before I was taking asmic and I had one of the chicken drumsticks and I suddenly looked at the chick the bucket of chicken and I thought oh [ __ ] I can't eat this and I remember Colonel Sanders was on the wall it was like he was looking down at me going hey what happened to my best customer we were friends exactly best friends um talking about a share price decline um and and I had had Epiphany in that moment where I realized so what these drugs do is they interrupt your eating patterns radically obviously that's key to how you lose weight and is obviously a good thing in many ways but there's scientific evidence for five reasons why we eat that I go through in the book only one of them is you know to sustain our bodies that all the rest are psychological right in my case I realized from when I was very young how much of my eating was driven by desire to comfort myself to numb myself to manage my emotions and I couldn't eat that way on asmic right if you try to overeat on asmic you will literally vomit you you can't do it it would be awful and so these feelings kind of came to the surface it was very conscious in my mind I think oh you're just going to have to feel like [ __ ] today then right right now that can be a good thing bringing those emotions to the surface can help you find a better way to deal with them clearly there are better ways to deal with sadness and grief than Colonel Sanders um but some people find worse ways right like they they when they stop having that food addiction they go to alcohol or other things that harm them even more yeah exactly so I think and we know this with other forms of um I often think the best way of understanding the effects of these drugs is actually to compare them to bariatric surgery people have only been taking these drugs for obesity for a couple of years now but uh when it comes to um ex radical weight loss the most reliable method up to now has been bariatric surgery um things like stomach stapling gastric sleeves gastric bands and so on so when we look at bariatric surgery what do we see I mean first thing we know is that it's a [ __ ] horrible operation right one in a thousand people die in the operation it's no joke it's Grim but why do people go through that well they go through it because they get extraordinary benefits so bear in mind that they obviously had to be really quite obese to get the surgery in the first place but if you have bariatric surgery in the seven years that follow you are 56% less likely to die of a heart attack you are 60% less likely to die of cancer you are 92% less likely to die of diabetes related causes in fact it's so good for your health that in those 7 years you're 40% less likely to die at all of any cause so we know it has extraordinary benefits but also we know interestingly after bariatric surgery your suicide risk almost quadruples which is crazy which is I mean I want to stress it remains low suicide is RIS anyway but that's a huge increase right and you think why would that be some of that is possibly the actual physical effects of dealing with the surgery which as I say is grueling but I think it's much more this this kind of thing right you can't comfor eat um as Professor Carell Laro who's done a lot of work on both on barric surgery and on these drugs said to me part of it I think is a lot of people who are obese tell themselves if only I was thinner my life would be great right and then you lose all this weight and your husband's still an [ __ ] and your boss is still a prick yeah and here you are right um so I think there's all sort I go through a lot more in the book but I think there all sorts of complicated psychological phenomena that are going on a lot of women who've been sexually abused consciously or unconsciously gain a huge amount of weight in the aftermath to make themselves safer you're less likely to be sexually assaulted if you're if you're obese although it can still happen it's more rare um and they experience losing weight as actually becoming severely and suddenly vulnerable there's all sorts of complicated things going on the US just approved I think kids at 12 years old can start taking these medicines is this a good idea the debate about children is the thing I find most difficult and it takes the core debate about these drugs and dials it up dials it up to 12 as far as I'm concerned because what you have to weigh is two competing risks the risks of obesity which are enormous if you're obese when you're 18 years old you have a 70% chance of developing diabetes in your life and Diabetes Type 2 diabetes knocks 15 years off your life on average and that's one of the effects of being obese there's more than 200 of them and they are horrendous you got to weigh those risks against the risks of these drugs which are significant and particularly with children the most uh worrying risk about these drugs which is that we don't know the long-term effects of these drugs no one's been taking them that long and if you're a 6-year-old and you're giv these drugs and Novo nordis is currently doing a trial on giving them to six-year-olds if you're a six-year-old and you take these drugs presumably saying you're going to take these drugs for 80 years we have no idea about the long-term effects so I interviewed parents who given their children a zic I have a lot of feeling for them it is a horrendous dilemma what it makes most clear is we should we should not tolerate our children having to choose between a risky medical condition and a risky drug we don't have to accept that choice I went to Japan where there is no childhood obesity that's not an overstatement there is statistically no childhood obesity I got to tell you it's a really weird thing to walk around schools with a thousand children and realize there is not one fat child in that school why is that is because they didn't allow processed food to [ __ ] their kids up right and I talk in the book about how Japan achieved that Japan was not a healthy country 100 100 years ago it had one of the worst diets in the world right this was done by absolutely concerted government policy we can do that too obviously we need to do that but at the moment we're in a trap right and these drug draw a risky risky Rusty trapdoor um I don't blame any parent who makes any decision on that we got to deal with the wider forces that have got us into this shitty situation in the first place and then parents have to make that agonizing choice I hope my book will help them make a more informed choice but I really empathize with them because that is the hardest of the hard questions that are brought up in my book magic pill the book is Magic pill the extraordinary benefits and disturbing risks of the new weight loss drugs you heard a little bit about it here I really suggest you go pick it up whether you're thinking about taking it or whether you're just uh interested in what the broader effects are going to be it's a great book yoan hary thank you so much for joining us oh thank you so much I meant to say as well all my Publishers tased me you can get an audio book as well which is read by me if you go to magic book.com but pretty much anywhere you can get the book the physical book The ebook I meant to say you can get it from all good book stores but you can get it from lousy book stores as well we have a quality test I've really enjoyed this what great questions thank you thank you so much we'll see you next time on big technology podcast